When the votes for the Bundestag have been tallied on September 24, 2017, Germany will most likely get a new chancellor. This is the forecast of the Chancellor Model (Norpoth and Gschwend 2013), as of March 2017, to be updated throughout the election year. Machtwechsel, a change of the guards, in the Federal Republic is in the air. Martin Schulz, the Social Democratic candidate for chancellor, is poised to take over from Christian Democrat Angela Merkel, ending her 12-year tenure as German chancellor, spanning three full terms with a varied cast of coalition partners.
New publication: „Chancellor Model Predicts a Change of the Guards“
Bild: PS